Uniffors


Who is behind the bombing?

Posted in Manuel Buencamino by uniffors on the October 20th, 2007

That is the question.

My take on the bombing takes off from the fact that no one has claimed credit for it nor made any demands related to it, yet.

One scenario:

The bombing was a demonstration to the administration by X group that it is capable of carrying out such acts anywhere, anytime. So it’s safe to assume secret demands have been made to the administration.

I would say this is similar to those bombings that led to ceasefire and renewed peace talks with the MILF. Not saying that it’s MILF or JI behind it.

All I’m saying is this could be a terror act that’s not addressed to the general population but to a specific audience.

Another scenario:

The more obvious one is X group is simply out to sow fear and hopes to take advantage of it.

A third scenario:

Blame the administration. It is a diversion and a pretext for martial law.

But if we accept this scenario then we are assuming a sea change in how the game is played.

Recall that during the time of Marcos, bomb blasts were for acoustic effect. Victims in some of those blasts were incidental and accidental, not the main event like the Glorietta blast. Also, even the ambush on Enrile was faked.

So Glorietta is a very dangerous game because if indeed Gloria and her generals crossed the line, engaged in terror, then that means the next people power will be very bloody.

Finally, there’s the old US bugaboo.

Recall the mysterious American that Davao mayour Duterte blames for those Mindanao bombings several years ago. Well, if its that type of American, then we are looking at something deep, sinister, and geopolitical.

(Still posting from Starbucks)

9 Responses to 'Who is behind the bombing?'

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  1. cvj said,

    on October 20th, 2007 at 2:08 pm

    MB, stay safe. We need good reporters, not martyrs.

  2. Chabeli said,

    on October 20th, 2007 at 5:25 pm

    According to the National Security Adviser, Norberto Gonzalez, the bomb blast in Glorietta 2 “could be a show of force and capability by a local terror cell.” (abs-cbnnews.com).

    If we were to take this man’s statement seriously, wouldn’t the likes of terrorist cells like the Abu Sayyaf, Jemaah Islamiya, MILF, or other Al Qaeda-connected groups, be rushing to grab the limelight-as they seem to love to do after they succeed in an attack ?

    It’s been over 24 hours since the bomb blast, & we have not heard from any terrorist groups claiming victory to prove to the public that they are formidable force. The only one mentioning, or alluding to, terrorists is Norberto Gonzalez. Which, to my mind, is suspicious. I know it is his job to open his mouth & say something, but his opinion on the matter is too shallow. Anyone could have said that for the sake of saying something. The Abu Sayyaf has said (abs-cbnnews.com) that “..the group has no involvement in the bomb blast..” & that “the Abu Sayyaf has not fielded any operative in Metro Manila.”

    Which leaves analysts, for now, to deduce that the Glorietta 2 bomb blast was an “inside” job. It could have been the handiwork of the right-leaning military men (who would also have access to a C-4 bomb) who want to remove Gloria from Malacanang at all cost. The bomb was a warning to her. This could explain why Gloria cancelled her trip to Ormoc & Tacloban today. What I also gathered last night, was that some generals were called to Malacanan while they were attending a party for an ex-General. After the meeting in the Palace, the Generals went back to the party. They all looked nervous.

    However, one may ask, “why such a ruthess act, like a bomb blast, at the expense of people’s lives ?” We must remember that the enemy (Gloria) IS ruthless.

  3. Chabeli said,

    on October 20th, 2007 at 5:32 pm

    What also comes to mind, is the number lives lost – although one life is more than tragic-isn’t it a modus operandi for terrorists to attack on a large scale, by killing hundreds or even thousands of people in the likes of 9/11, the recent bombing in Pakistan, etc. ? The intention of the “local terror cell” Norberto Gonzalez is alluding to was not to kill. It was to send a message to someone.


  4. on October 20th, 2007 at 11:50 pm

    If the blast had been delayed 4 more hours, it would’ve cost more human lives, the terrorists would have been happier. REAL terrorists, that is.


  5. on October 21st, 2007 at 12:07 am

    MB,
    Look at the days before yesterday: Tacurong bombing attempt foiled; Gen. Dolorfino says a civil war may be upcoming. Then Glorietta.

  6. broadbandido said,

    on October 22nd, 2007 at 7:12 pm

    “b”RSM”b/”

  7. Schumey said,

    on October 22nd, 2007 at 9:06 pm

    During the first few hours after the blast, a PNP official was caught saying that they smelled gunpowder. Noon of the next day, Saturday, a supposed spokesperson of RSM came out. Nobody bought it. Now they say its an accident.

    The FBI did not find any trace of RDX. The AFP says the FBI did not look in the right place and still believes its a bomb. The government said that in any war, collateral damage cannot be avoided. The PNP however says that evidence points to the blast as being an accident.

    It was the PNP who also said that Jonas Burgos was abducted by the military. It seems that our security forces are always split and contradicting. But of course, the AFP is closer to GMA than the police.

    I wonder which side the two would join in a coup?

  8. anna de brux said,

    on October 22nd, 2007 at 10:30 pm

    Schumey,

    Did govt really say ” … in any war, collateral damage cannot be avoided. ”

    But has Makati become a war zone already?

  9. SNOOPY said,

    on January 10th, 2008 at 5:10 pm

    In a press conference today, PNP explained its Methane Gas explosion theory. It goes like this:

    1. They found a raised level flooring which they say methane gas accumulated to 5% of air volume of the airpocket in that location.
    2. They say that ignition was caused by automatic switch number 4.

    QUESTION: How the hell could an ignition be cause by an automatic switch several meters away from the methane gas pocket in raised flooring?